Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.002876 0.003009 0.003144 0.003292 0.003450 0.003613 0.003795
2025-03-09 0.002635 0.002833 0.003042 0.003280 0.003545 0.003830 0.004162
2025-03-16 0.002471 0.002706 0.002961 0.003259 0.003599 0.003977 0.004432
2025-03-23 0.002329 0.002587 0.002872 0.003213 0.003610 0.004063 0.004623
2025-03-30 0.002215 0.002490 0.002798 0.003173 0.003620 0.004140 0.004798
2025-04-06 0.002140 0.002431 0.002764 0.003174 0.003672 0.004264 0.005029
2025-04-13 0.002019 0.002313 0.002652 0.003076 0.003599 0.004229 0.005059
2025-04-20 0.001964 0.002270 0.002627 0.003080 0.003646 0.004341 0.005274
2025-04-27 0.001935 0.002256 0.002636 0.003123 0.003743 0.004516 0.005575
2025-05-04 0.001873 0.002199 0.002588 0.003094 0.003744 0.004568 0.005716
2025-05-11 0.001821 0.002152 0.002551 0.003075 0.003758 0.004635 0.005876
2025-05-18 0.001769 0.002103 0.002510 0.003049 0.003759 0.004683 0.006012
2025-05-25 0.001745 0.002089 0.002512 0.003080 0.003837 0.004838 0.006304
2025-06-01 0.001704 0.002052 0.002484 0.003069 0.003859 0.004917 0.006492
2025-06-08 0.001661 0.002012 0.002450 0.003049 0.003867 0.004976 0.006653
2025-06-15 0.001612 0.001961 0.002401 0.003007 0.003842 0.004988 0.006742
2025-06-22 0.001567 0.001916 0.002358 0.002971 0.003824 0.005007 0.006843
2025-06-29 0.001540 0.001893 0.002342 0.002972 0.003857 0.005099 0.007056
2025-07-06 0.001478 0.001822 0.002263 0.002883 0.003759 0.004998 0.006970
2025-07-13 0.001456 0.001803 0.002250 0.002886 0.003793 0.005090 0.007185
2025-07-20 0.001448 0.001803 0.002265 0.002926 0.003880 0.005263 0.007535
2025-07-27 0.001416 0.001770 0.002232 0.002898 0.003868 0.005288 0.007648
2025-08-03 0.001389 0.001743 0.002207 0.002882 0.003871 0.005334 0.007797